Although the coronavirus pandemic is far from being contained and optimism doesn’t feel to help much, there are things to be considered as optimistic. According to Fox News, research recently published in journal Science gives reason to believe that the drastic and fast-imposed measures in Wuhan, done by Chinese authorities, have saved up to 700.000 lives.
If by now 48,578 people died of coronavirus from the official 955,136 infected cases then the scientists stand to an even frightening number of diagnosed people. The deaths represent 5% of the infected people. It 5% was to be represented by the number 700.000, then the official number of infected people would be 1.4 million.
According to Penn State, one of the researchers involved in the study said they used three sources to come up with this scenario: case reports, human movement through cell phone data, and public health intervention information.
The measures taken in Wuhan saved hundreds of thousands of people from coronavirus
For 50 days, Chinese officials quarantined the entire city of Wuhan starting January 23. Before the traffic ban, 4.3 million people moved out of Wuhan. The ban gave time to other cities around the world to take precautions.
The ones who did take the precautions are currently in a better state with concerns to the virus’ spread than hose who ignored it and didn’t try to prevent it. By implementing a Level 1 response, cities could reduce the number of infected people by 33%.
Although 82,361 infected people and 3,193 deaths might be a sound like enormous damage, they represent only a slam fraction of the Chinese population. And the worst of it is that China isn’t out of the woods.
“Given the small fraction of the Chinese population that has been infected, a much larger number of people remain at risk of COVID-19. We are acutely aware that resident or imported infections could lead to a resurgence of transmission,” said Huaiyu Tian, associate professor of epidemiology at Beijing Normal University.